The Iran and Oil Jitters

Iran flexes muscle ahead of talks

This satellite image taken Saturday Sept. 26, 2009, provided ...

This satellite image taken Saturday Sept. 26, 2009, provided by GeoEye shows a facility under construction inside a mountain located about 20 miles north northeast of Qom, Iran. Although there is no confirmation, analysts at both the Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security and London-based IHS Jane’s believe this satellite photo of a site on a military base near Qom, Iran, is most likely the location of the newly revealed centrifuge facility. Analysts at both ISIS and Jane’s point to apparent tunnel entrances leading into a mountain.(AP Photo/GeoEye Sateliite Image, IHS Jane’s Analysis)

Well Iran is shooting an arsenal of missiles as it feels all of a sudden threatened after a covert uranium  enrichment plant was disclosed during the U.N. session over the weekend. It appears that Iran unlike Iraq is fully engaged in developing nuclear weapons. In Iraq it was very circumstantial evidence he said-she said but in Iran pictures are  a thousand words and the Iranian don’t deny it is an uranium enrichment plant after it being disclosed.

Now what to do? These facilities are deep underground spread out over a large area. Thus could anything militarily by air be effective in rolling back there production capability probably not. The Israelis are threatening to bomb sites but what is there chances of success. It looks low to me and even if we the United States assisted in a bombing how effective will the intelligence be even if we use a super bunker buster bomb that will create a meteor crater on these sites? What prevents the Iranians in moving machines and uranium to other unknown sites out of the areas of the bombings. Also what about the Persian Gulf and the Straits of Hormuz will they become blocked or a naval killing zone? What will happen to oil routes through the region? It seems a lot of unknowns are unknown and to soon to start jumping to conclusions about bombing Iran before we know what the repercussions will be and whether any military action can be effective.

An Iranian long-range Shahab-3 missile is fired in desert terrain ...

An Iranian long-range Shahab-3 missile is fired in desert terrain at an unspecified location in Iran on September 28. The United States piled pressure on Iran ahead of key nuclear talks, demanding full access to Tehran’s newly revealed uranium plant and denouncing “provocative” new missile tests.(AFP/Fars News/Shaiegan)

Iran's newly disclosed nuclear fuel facility near Qom, Iran, ...

Iran’s newly disclosed nuclear fuel facility near Qom, Iran, is pictured in this GeoEye satellite photograph released September 27, 2009. U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said on Sunday that diplomacy and sanctions rather than military action are the way to persuade Iran to change its nuclear program as divisions emerge in the Iranian leadership. REUTERS/GeoEye/IHS Janes Analysis/Handout



One thought on “The Iran and Oil Jitters

  1. Everyone was upset that Obama scrapped Bush’s European Missile Defense scam. But now that Russia is on our side, and China follows Russia’s lead, Iran, for the first time, faces real multilateral sanctions. That’s a huge step forward.

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